Page 47 - economic report 2021
P. 47

4. Prospects

                     The prospects for economic growth remain positive regarding 2022 as a whole, thanks to the
                     fact that the pandemic had a limited impact in the first few months of the year and is fading as
                     the year progresses. The effective control of the pandemic, with high percentages of vaccinated
                     populations in Europe, and the lifting of almost all restrictions on movement and social interaction
                     were decisive factors in driving the economic recovery and reactivation of tourism.


                     GDP data for the first quarter of 2022 indicate very good behaviour in the economy, with 17.3%
                     growth year on year in real terms (according to the first published estimate, still subject to review),
                     which predicts faster progress than the 12.1% noted in the fourth quarter of 2021.


                  In the f rst quarter of 2022, growth        By sectors, a notable recovery can be seen in
                        in Andorran GDP accelerated           services (15.2%), favoured by a very positive
                                to 17.3% year on year.        winter season at the ski resorts. Next is the
                                                              growth  in  construction  (6%)  and  industrial
                                                              activity (3.9%) which, in both cases, slowed
                     in  comparison  with  the  fourth  quarter  of  2021.  The  only  sector  that  stayed  negative  is
                     agriculture, with a downturn of 0.5% year on year.


                     Within  services,  the  subsector  of  Commerce,  hotels  and  catering,  transport,  information  and
                     communications  presented  the  steepest  growth  in  GVA  (28.9%),  accelerating  in  relation  to
                     the fourth quarter of 2021. The rate of growth was also notable in the subsector of Financial,
                     property,  professional  and  technical  services  (9.1%)  and  the  branch  of  Public  administrations,
                     education, health, social and personal services (9%).
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                     The growing momentum in Andorran economic   Note the strong growth in the number
                     activity  can  also  be  seen  in  the  trend  in  the   of visitors in the f rst half of 2022.
                     main indicators of activity available for the first
                     few months of 2022. In particular, the number
                     of visitors saw a strong cumulative year-on-year increase of 136% in the first half of the year,
                     which was even stronger in the case of tourists, who spend the night in the country and spend
                     more. Equally, the number of employees increased 18.2% up to April, growth that was led by


               QUARTERLY TREND IN GDP AND                       QUARTERLY TREND IN ANDORRAN
               NON-FINANCIAL GVA IN REAL TERMS            Chart  5.8   GVA BY SECTORS                       Chart  5.9
               Interannual variation rate (%)                   Interannual variation rate (%)




















                           GDP      Non-f nancial GVA            Q1 2021  Q2 2021  Q3 2021  Q4 2021   Q1 2022     The Andorran economy: general developments  |  V.  Activity and demand
               Source: Department of Stat st cs.                 Source: Department of Stat st cs.
   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50   51   52