Page 14 - economic report 2021
P. 14

The underlying inflation rate (excluding volatile
               COMMODITY PRICES                               components such as energy and unprocessed
               (Index 2016=100)                           Chart  1.4  food)  also  saw  a  certain  rebound  (1.5%),  but


               250                                            considerably smaller and always less than the
               230                                            target set by ECB monetary policy (2%). The
               210                                            main  Eurozone  economies  recorded  annual
               190                                            inflation rates of close to 2%, such as in France
               170                                            (2.1%) and Italy (1.9%), or 3%, as in Germany
               150                                            (3.2%) and Spain (3.0%).
               130
               110
                                                              Public  finances  have  been  seriously  affected
                90
                70                                            by the health emergency. In the Eurozone as
                       2019       2020       2021   2022      a whole, the public deficit went from 0.7% of
                                                              GDP in 2019 to 7.1% in 2020, then shrank to
                 Commodit es    Basic           Industrial
                                foodstuf s (1)  inputs (2)    5.1% in 2021. The reduction of the deficit last
                                                              year was the result of a decrease in expenditure
               (1) Includes the price indexes for cereals, vegetable oils, meat, shellf sh,
               sugar and other foodstuf s.                    as  a  percentage  of  GDP  (going  from  53.6%
               (2) Includes the price indexes for wood, cot on, wool, rubber and skins
               (agricultural commodit es) and the price indexes for aluminium, cobalt,   to 52.4%), and an increase in income by one
               copper, iron ore, lead, molybdenum, nickel, t n, uranium and zinc (metals).  point to 47.3% of GDP. Yet again, it was the
               Source: IMF Commodity Prices.                  large  European  countries  with  the  highest
                                                              public account deficits (above 6%) that felt the
                The Eurozone public def cit improved          greatest economic impact from the pandemic

             from 7.1% GDP in 2020 to 5.1% in 2022.           (Greece, Italy, Spain and France, among others).
                                                              Remember that the European Commission has
                                                              extended  suspension  of  the  fiscal  rules  that
      12
                     set a public deficit limit of 3% until 2023, since the community’s priorities consist of providing
                     continued support to the recovery in growth and employment.


                     As for monetary policy, throughout 2021 the central banks continued to implement an expansive
                     policy  to  slow  down  the  economic  impact  of  the  coronavirus  crisis.  The  Fed  maintained
                     interest rates at a low 0.0-0.25%, and both the ECB and the Bank of Japan kept them stable
        The external environment of the Andorran economy  |  I.  The international economy
                     at historic lows (0%). Equally, the central banks
                     largely  maintained  the  measures  to  ensure  an   In 2021, monetary policy was st ll
                     abundance  of  liquidity  and  favourable  credit   expansive, but changed in 2022
                     conditions. However, in 2022 the steep rise in   to tackle inf at on.
                     inflation caused a turnabout in monetary policy.



               OFFICIAL INTEREST RATES IN THE USA AND EUROZONE - As %
                                                                                                            Chart  1.5


















                                                      USA       Eurozone
               Source: Federal Reserve and ECB.
   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19