Page 13 - economic report 2020
P. 13

Nor was the impact of the pandemic uniform   The Eurozone economy shrank
                     among the developed countries. In 2020, the   almost twice as much as the US
                     Eurozone was the most affected region, with
                     an average decline of 6.5%. On the other hand,   economy due to the pandemic.
                     the  fall  in  GDP  in  the  USA  was  3.5%  and  in
                     Japan 4.7%, much closer to the global decline in GDP (-3.2%).


                     Outside the Eurozone, the steep downturn in the UK economy stands out, where GDP plummeted
                     9.8% in 2020, one of the worst falls to be seen among the advanced economies. There are two
                     main reasons to explain the severity of the fall. On the one hand, the extent to which the virus
                     spread among the population, forcing the government to impose very restrictive social isolation
                     measures for long periods of time. On the other hand, the impact of Brexit in the last few months
                     of the year. Remember that the United Kingdom formally left the European Union on 31 January
                     2020, but it was not until 24 December 2020 that a trade agreement was finally signed that came
                     into force on 1st January 2021.


                     The  impact  of  the  pandemic  was  lower  on
                     the  US  economy  than  on  Europe  because   GDP GROWTH - Annual variation rates, in %
                     it  implemented  less  restrictive  measures  to                                       Chart  1.2
                     contain the spread of the virus, and also due
                     to  more  vigorous  implementation  of  policies
                     to combat the economic effects of the crisis.
                     However, the impact on the labour market was
                     significant at the start of the pandemic, as the
                     unemployment rate went from a historic low                                                  11
                     of  3.5%  in  February  2020  to  14.8%  in  April,
                     the highest level since World War II (8.1% on
                     annual average in 2020). Note that the strong
                     economic  incentives given to businesses and             USA      Eurozone
                     citizens and the decline in tax revenue explain                      f: IMF forecasts (July 2021).
                     why  the  public  deficit  more  than  doubled  in   Source: IMF.
                     one year, going from 6.7% of GDP in 2019 to
                     15.8% in 2020, according to the OECD.      The European economies that
                                                                most depend on tourism saw the
                     The Eurozone economy was one of the areas   greatest falls in GDP.
                     that  suffered  most  from  the  consequences
                     of  COVID-19.  According  to  Eurostat,  GDP
                     went from growing 1.3% in 2019 to declining 6.6% in 2020, especially due to the steep fall in
                     domestic demand. Although all countries entered into recession this year, the severity of the
                     impact of the crisis was not uniform. The economies that were most affected were those situated
                     in southern Europe, where the tourist sector has a major influence on GDP. This was the case
                     in Spain (-10.8%), Italy (-8.9%), Greece (-8.2%), France (-7.9%) and Portugal (-7.6%). On the other
                     hand, more industrialised economies, such as Germany (-4.9%) and other countries outside the   The external environment of the Andorran economy  |  I.  The international economy
                     EMU, such as Poland (-2.7%) and the Czech Republic (-5.6%), saw smaller falls in GDP. Another
                     difference between countries is the level of fiscal effort made by governments to combat the
                     economic consequences of the pandemic. According to the IMF , among the ranks of European
                                                                          1
                     economies that mobilised most public resources in the way of public spending or a reduction of
                     the tax burden to deal with COVID-19, were Germany (11% of GDP), Italy (8.5%), Belgium (8.0%),
                     France (7.6%) and Spain (7.6%).

              1  Fiscal Monitor Database of Country Fiscal Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic. IMF (April 2021)
                https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Fiscal-Policies-Database-in-Response-to-COVID-19
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